Rob Davies

Cell: 778-350-5525 |

October Market Update

A message from me...


Welcome Fall! I hope everyone is staying warm in these big storms we are having!
There is a lot in news lately about the government trying to control the runaway real estate 
market, but perhaps this is the most significant change. A major shift in mortgage rules means that buyers taking on loans to buy homes may not qualify to borrow as much as they previously could.

The change means that all home buyers, regardless of how much they have for a down payment, 
will be subject to a mortgage rate stress test beginning Oct. 17 that has, up until now, been reserved for those 
with less than 20 per cent down. Buyers with a down payment of between five and 20 per cent must be backed by mortgage insurance to protect the lender in the event the homeowner defaults on the loan. Because they are considered higher risk, those buyers must pass what’s called a mortgage rate stress test to qualify for insurance backed by the federal government through the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.

That stress test measures whether the buyer could still afford to make payments if mortgage rates rose to the Bank of Canada’s posted five-year fixed mortgage rate. That rate is usually significantly higher than what a buyer can negotiate with banks or other lenders. For instance, TD has a five-year fixed rate mortgage at 2.59 per cent, while the Bank of Canada’s rate is 4.64 per cent.

The stress test also sets a ceiling of no more than 39 per cent of household income being necessary to cover home-carrying costs such as mortgage payments, heat and taxes. Until now, buyers with more than a 20 per cent down payment have escaped such scrutiny. How this will impact on our local market is yet to be seen, but I would expect to see price increases moderate, while the lack of inventory and high demand should hold prices steady and we move into a more balanced market. Happy Thanksgiving and Happy Halloween!

Rob Davies


If you wish to check out the release from the Victoria Real Estate Board please follow the link below:

Victoria Housing Market Chills Out For Fall
"This is the lowest level of inventory on the market in September that we have on record [since 1996]," notes Mike Nugent, 2016 President of the Board. "This continuing lack of inventory holds up sales. The market is still strong, but not moving at the pace we saw earlier in the year. This slowdown is typical with what we expect in the fall to winter season and may be more pronounced as a result of buyer fatigue, due to the lack of available inventory."



This month's featured listing: Lot 5 Blackwood Heights, Lake Cowichan

This beautiful property
 is a five acre lakefront lot on heavily sought after Cowichan Lake! It is absolutely stunning, with nothing that compares. Very tranquil and peaceful setting bordered by parkland with 30 Meters of lake frontage! R-2 Zoning allows for secondary suites or a secondary dwelling! Further uses allow for B&B, agricultural and home occupation! PERC has been obtained, hydro has been established and many driveways in place! All you have to do is start building! Build your vacation home or set yourself up here for full time living with a variety of options presented! Call me today for all details. Oh, and PS...DOCK INCLUDED! This is the last lot left and it won't last!


Like me on Facebook @RobDaviesRealEstateVictoriaBC for more updates like this one!

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